The Morales Power-Rating System — something I concocted on my own without tinkering with a computer or piggy-backing off Jeff Sagarin — is about as basic as a ranking platform can get. It’s easy: A team must beat an FBS team with a winning record against FBS competition to get truly rewarded. If a team loses to an FBS team with a losing record — or God forbid an FCS school (cough, Colorado) — it should get what is coming to it. The key is not only the victory or defeat, it is how the FBS opponent fairs the rest of the way with its won-loss record against FBS competition and its overall offensive and defensive stats compared to the other 120 FBS teams in the country.
MORALES PAC-12 POWER RATINGS
|1. Oregon St.||3-0||2-0||Two tough road wins put Beavers atop power standings|
|2. Oregon||5-0||2-0||Ducks' win over Wazzu not as impressive as OSU's win vs. UA|
|3. UCLA||4-1||1-1||Bruins take care of Colorado and now face hapless Cal|
|4. Stanford||3-1||1-1||Cardinal opponents 11-4 vs. FBS competition|
|5. Arizona St.||4-1||2-0||Devils move up only because they won on road|
|6. Arizona||3-2||0-2||Both losses vs. two best Pac-12 teams|
|7. Washington||3-1||1-0||Stanford win significant but now must play at Oregon|
|8. Southern Cal||3-1||1-1||Teams Trojans beat are now 0-10 vs. FBS teams|
|9. Utah||2-2||0-1||Missed FG away (vs. BYU) from being 0-3 vs. FBS teams|
|10. California||1-4||0-2||Coaching change if Cal loses at Wazzu in two weeks?|
|11. Washington St.||2-2||0-2||Lost only one point in neutral site loss to Ducks|
|12. Colorado||1-4||1-1||Buffaloes return to futility with big home loss to UCLA|
Team-by-team Morales Pac-12 Power Ratings (after Sept. 29 games)
Read further for points explanations for every team and scoring system guideline.
The scoring system:
– Teams get points for a win over another FBS program that has a winning record against other FBS programs. Points to be added for each game above .500.
– They should get two if they win on the road (one at a neutral site) no matter the record of the opponent against FBS competition.
– Wins over FCS teams on the road count as one point. Victories over FCS programs at home do not count.
– Teams should have a point reduced for defeats against other FBS teams with a losing record. Points to be reduced for each game below .500.
– They should have two points deducted for home losses to FBS teams and three points reduced by losing to FCS teams at home. They should have a point deducted for a loss at a neutral site.
– Teams should get points incrementally in victories over other FBS teams when factoring the major statistical categories: Total offense and total defense. A team will get three points with a victory against an FBS team that ranks in the top 20, two from 21 to 40, one from 41 to 60. Conversely, points will be taken away using the same ratio in losses to teams that rank 61 or below in these categories
– Teams will get three points if it ranks No. 1-20 in total offense and total defense, two if it ranks No. 21-40, and one if it ranks No. 41-60. Conversely, they will have points deducted in the same ratio if they rank No. 61 or below in these categories.
– If teams have same amount of points, head-to-head is the tie-breaker. If teams are tied and don’t play or haven’t played each other, the tie-breaker is outcome against top power team on down until a separation is made. The next tie-breaker is record vs. FBS teams.
Site publisher, writer and editor Javier Morales is a former Arizona Press Club award winner